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Updated: 11 years 45 weeks ago

Will: Republicans focused on short term by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

George Will points out how the immigration issue is playing in key races like Pennsylvania and concludes that Republicans up for reelection are content to aim for short term gain at the price of a long term loss:

Republicans very much want to pass an immigration bill as proof their party can govern. For that reason, there is no reason to expect Senate Democrats to compromise by passing something like the House bill. Nothing very different from it has any chance of being accepted by the House. So, assuming, as it seems safe to do, that the House-Senate conference fails to produce a compromise acceptable to both houses, when Congress returns to Washington after the Labor Day recess the House may again pass essentially what it passed in December, just to enable Republicans to campaign on the basis of a clear and recent stance against exactly what Santorum's ad stands against.

The cost of this, paid in the coin of lost support among Latinos, the nation's largest and fastest growing minority, may be reckoned later, for years. Remember this: Out West, feelings of all sorts about immigration policy are particularly intense, and if John Kerry had won a total of 127,014 more votes in New Mexico, Nevada and Colorado, states with burgeoning Latino populations, he would have carried those states and won the election. But for now, the minds of Republican candidates are concentrated on a shorter time horizon -- the next four and a half months.

I am not so sure it has to be so cut and dry. I am also not convinced that this is a long-term calamity waiting to happen. 

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A race to the bottom? by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27
This CNN headline is all about Bush's bad poll numbers dragging down Republicans in the fall. But the article points out an interesting trend that the Dems should be worried about:
When voters were asked which party would be their choice for Congress in November, 45 percent said Democrat and 38 percent Republican. Twelve percent were unsure. However, in May, Democrats captured 52 percent in the same generic ballot question, showing their support had dropped 7 points in a month. The level of Republican support was unchanged, indicating voters had moved from the Democratic column to unsure.
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Immigration reform dead? by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

According to Robert Novak, House Majority Leader John Boehner is telling people immigration reform is dead:

Within two days last week, House Majority Leader John Boehner changed from sunny optimism about prospects for passing an immigration bill this summer to a bleak, negative outlook. The reason was that Boehner got the word from House Speaker Dennis Hastert.

Boehner on Tuesday was upbeat in addressing a breakfast forum at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, which supports a guest worker program. He indicated he would resolve differences between the restrictive House bill and the much more liberal Senate bill by the Fourth of July.

But at a closed luncheon Wednesday at Charlie Palmer's restaurant, attended by financial contributors to House Republicans, Boehner declared that the immigration bill was all but dead. That change followed Boehner's conversation late Tuesday with Hastert, who made clear he did not want to pursue the issue that splits the Republican Party.

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House rejects troop withdrawal by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

Today the House of Representatives rejected troop withdrawal and announced further resolve to see it through in Iraq.

The AP:

The House on Friday handily rejected a timetable for pulling U.S. forces out of Iraq, culminating a fiercely partisan debate between Republicans and Democrats feeling the public's apprehension about war and the onrushing midterm campaign season.

In a 256-153 vote, the GOP-led House approved a nonbinding resolution that praises U.S. troops, labels the Iraq war part of the larger global fight against terrorism and says an "arbitrary date for the withdrawal or redeployment" of troops is not in the national interest.

"Retreat is not an option in Iraq," declared House Majority Leader John Boehner, R-Ohio. "Achieving victory is our only option, for the American people and our kids."

"Stay the course, I don't think so Mr. President. It's time to face the facts," House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi of California answered, as she called for a new direction in the conflict. "The war in Iraq has been a mistake. I say, a grotesque mistake."

Today's vote was the culmination of a week's worth of GOP efforts to make a renewed push on the Iraq war. On the Senate side, troop withdrawal supported by John Kerry was roundly rebuffed in bipartisan fashion.

Republicans on the Hill finally feel the wind at their backs on this issue after the killing of Zarqawi. Meanwhile, Democrats this week were treated to a vicious intra-party fight over strategy that in the end seems to have shattered their caucus for the short term.

UPDATE: Hugh Hewitt has a copy of the text of today's House Resolution that drew the ire of a majority of the Dems. 

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Frist wants death tax repeal by July 4 by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

Congressional Quarterly reports:

Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist on Friday said he will find a way to pass an estate tax repeal within the next two weeks.

That proposal is one of several that Frist intends to shoehorn into the already crowded summer schedule.

“I am not leaving the U.S. Senate without finding a permanent fix,” said the Tennessee Republican, who intends to leave Congress at the end of his term this year.

The package Frist is pushing for will have to be compromised in order to make ith through the Senate. The full death tax repeal was defeated in the Senate last week.

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Tancredo's tactics by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

Horatius at Red State goes after Tom Tancredo for his brutish tactics towarnd fellow Repblicans engaged in the immigration debate.

Let me be clear. I agree with Tancredo a lot. The Senate immigration bill provides unadulterated amnesty and should be opposed. I believe that we should secure the border first and foremost. However, I am not opposed to all guest-worker programs and am open to being convinced by people like Mike Pence. (I haven’t yet read through his bill or materials to be able to say that I support it.) And I certainly don’t think that a normally, reliable conservative, like Chris Cannon, should be targeted for defeat or that a true conservative hero should have to sit in a counterfactual dunk tank like the “Pence Watch" and be thrown at by individuals who have done far less for the cause.

Tom Tancredo is becoming a political hack, and there is simply no way that he speaks for all of the 99 Members who are in his caucus just because they think that illegal immigration is out of control and needs “reform.” It is time for his colleagues to publicly reveal that he doesn’t speak for them.

I agree. Yesterday in my column I expressed disappointment with the tactics of the Tancredo crowd, especially in regard to Mike Pence and his immigration reform plan: 

They’re so adamant about the perceived wrong-headedness of his plan that they appear willing to dismiss the young conservative as a has-been. Indeed, rather than disagreement followed by dialogue, some appear ready to banish the Republican Study Committee’s Chairman to the hinterlands of the conservative movement. In the above mentioned column Buchanan insists that the adoption of the Pence plan will mark “the end of Mike Pence as a rising star of the GOP.”

That would be a shame.

The idea that some so-called conservatives would abandon an up-and-coming Reaganite because they disagree with his good-faith attempt to find a workable immigration solution is a measure of the temperature at which this debate is being conducted.

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Hillary is scary by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

This new poll sounds about right:

WASHINGTON - A new poll found the prospect of a President Hillary Clinton scares more Americans than any other likely 2008 candidate.

When a Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll asked which of four potential candidates for President "frightens you the most," 36% said the New York senator.

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Is this what happens when you get elected? by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27
Andy Roth points out that the newly elected Brian Bilbray is voting differently than he talked during the campaign regarding the earmarking issue.
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Dems cry foul on Iraq war resolution by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

The House of Representatives is debating a resolution that declares, among other things, that "the United States will prevail in the Global War on Terror, the struggle to protect freedom from the terrorist adversary."

To nobody's great surprise, Democrats have a problem with the resolution. Some held a press conference yesterday complaining that their hands were tied because they were unable to amend it.

The Influence Peddler asks:

Now what is so unfair about this resolution? Either you agree with it or you don't. The Democrats complain that this resolution politicizes the debate. Are you kidding me?

This complaint comes from the same folks who went to Baghdad before the war and said they believed Saddam over President Bush. The same folks that complained that the press can't film coffins arriving from Iraq. The same people who ran to the cameras breathlessly to excoriate the President over Abu Gharib and Haditha, and who say that regardless of what the facts may ultimately show about such events, senior military officials should be punished, and Rumsfeld forced to resign. The same folks who are trying to rewrite history on the questions of WMD in Iraq.

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Poll: Santorum within single digits by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27
The latest PA poll shows Rick Santorum much closer to Bob Casey, Jr. than the last poll had him.
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The politics of the Pence immigration bill by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27
That is the subject of my column today:
Indiana Congressman Mike Pence has proposed what he calls a “middle ground” in the debate over immigration reform. For his efforts Pence is now the subject of harsh criticism from both sides of the debate. But it is the criticism from the anti-immigration hard-liners on the right that threatens Pence’s standing as a hero to conservatives. Pence has done well to line up the support of many influential policy makers. But will it be enough to temper the relentless criticism from the hard liners?
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Senate legislation aims to stop overspending by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

New Hampshire Senator Judd Gregg flanked by Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist and other Republican Senators today introduced "Stop Over Spending" Legislation. The SOS package is a series of budget reform measures designed to slow the growth of federal spending and cut entitlements.

Perhaps the most high profile provision in the SOS Act is a Presidential line item veto that would give the President the power to pare back irresponsible spending and shine a spotlight on egregious pork projects. Of course, this only works if the President actually uses the power...but let's assume he will.

The SOS bill also seeks to address the growing problem of lawmakers designating non emergency funding as "emergencies" in order to expedite their projects. Railroad to Nowhere anyone?...

Another highlight of the SOS Act is a provision for biennial budgeting -- this provision would allow greater oversight of the expenditure of American taxpayer dollars.

On his blog, Bill Frist sounds optimistic:

We have a $9 trillion federal debt in America today, a debt fueled by out of control spending, a debt which places a mortgage on the future of our children.

If Washington is to live within its means – just as every American family must live within its means – bold, innovative and structural reforms are necessary...

As Majority Leader, it is my goal to see that we enact all or any part of the Stop Over-Spending Act this year – because we can no longer turn a blind eye to excessive spending and a broken budget process.

Indeed. Is this another sign that the GOP is beginning to see the light on the spending issue?

Expect Democrats to vigorously oppose these measures as they would directly impact their ability to promise the world to their constituents. 

In the extended section is a list of Republican cosponsors of the bill as well as a press release from GOP leadership today.

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Journalists reading conservative blogs... by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

...and then reporting. Perfect:

A handful of conservative online blogs began reporting Tuesday morning that a federal appropriations bill contained a $500,000 earmark to renovate a pool in Banning. They also pointed out that in the previous two years, Lewis wrote earmarks amounting to another $500,000 for the same pool.

The mini-controversy likely shows that in addition to facing a federal investigation into his relationship with a powerful lobbying firm, Lewis must also fend off a movement in the Republican Party's conservative wing, many of whom vehemently oppose the earmarking system.

Here are the aforementioned "handful".

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Judicial nominations: running the numbers by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

Republicans in the Senate are circulating a document that tallies the numbers in regards to judicial nominations. Below are some of the numbers from that document:

• 46 — The number of current vacancies on Article III courts — 17 in the courts of appeals, and 29 in the district courts.

• 22 — The number of judicial nominations pending in the Senate, including 10 court of appeals nominees and 12 district court nominees. (Three of these nominations are to fill “future vacancies” anticipated in the future, but the judgeships are not currently vacant.)

• 27 — The number of vacancies for which the President has not submitted a nomination, including 9 vacancies on the courts of appeals and 18 vacancies on the district courts.

• 21 — The number of judicial emergencies in the federal court system.

• 43 — The number of judicial nominations confirmed during the 109th Congress, including 2 Supreme Court Justices, 10 court of appeals judges, 30 district court judges, and 1 Court of International Trade judge.

• 204 — The number of Article III judges who were confirmed in the 107th and 108th Congresses, including 35 court of appeals judges and 169 district court judges.

• 5.4% — Overall vacancy rate in the federal courts. (46/853) The vacancy rate for the courts of appeals is 9.5 percent (17/179), and, for the district courts, 4.3 percent (29/674).

UPDATE: Meanwhile, Senator Lindsey Graham has written a letter to conservative groups explaining his opposition to fourth circuit nominee Jim Haynes.
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Fighting earmarks is "crazy" by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27
Or so says Congressman Henry Bonilla. Today, Rep. Jeff Flake challenged multiple earmarks on the House floor and was not received too well by his colleagues. According to Andy Roth, who was covering the debate, Bonilla "told Flake to 'wise up' and that his amendments are the definition of 'insanity'."
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Is anyone surprised by this? by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

The AP:

WASHINGTON (AP) - Houston divorce lawyer Mark Lipkin says he can't recall anyone paying for his services with a FEMA debit card, but congressional investigators say one of his clients did just that.

The $1,000 payment was just one example cited in an audit that concluded that up to $1.4 billion - perhaps as much as 16 percent of the billions of dollars in assistance expended after Hurricanes Katrina and Rita - was spent for bogus reasons.

The Federal Emergency Management Agency also was hoodwinked to pay for season football tickets, a tropical vacation and a sex change operation, the audit found. Prison inmates, a supposed victim who used a New Orleans cemetery for a home address and a person who spent 70 days at a Hawaiian hotel all were able to get taxpayer help, according to evidence that gives a new black eye to the nation's disaster relief agency.

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Inouye: Native Hawaiian bill dead for year by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

At least one Hawaiian Senator is waving the white flag in the effort to institute a race-based Hawaiian government -- for this year at least:

Federal and state programs that benefit Hawaiians would be protected under new legislation being drafted even as the battle continues for formal federal recognition, U.S. Sen. Daniel K. Inouye, D-Hawai'i, said yesterday.

Inouye also said he believed it "would be unwise" to battle for a new vote this year on the Native Hawaiian federal recognition bill after the Senate rejected an effort last week to bring the bill to the floor for a debate and vote.

Instead, supporters are expected to offer a new version of the Native Hawaiian bill after the next Congress convenes in January.

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GOP on an uptick? by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

Roll Call today runs an article noting a string of victories for the GOP:

After months of negative headlines and dismal poll numbers, House and Senate Republicans are taking the past two weeks’ run of good news as evidence that the party’s political fortunes may be on the rebound.

Last week’s assassination of Iraqi terrorist leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, the solidification of the Iraqi government, the GOP’s open-seat victory in California’s 50th district and Tuesday’s news that White House adviser Karl Rove will likely not be indicted in the CIA leak probe have combined to fuel a sense of cautious optimism among Republican Members and aides.

Don't forget the defeat of race-based governing in Hawaii last week.
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Bridge to Nowhere still lurks by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

Congress Daily PM notes that conservatives in the House have some work to do before funding for Alaska's Bridge to Nowhere is officially denied. Basically, if conservative efforts are not successfull the bridge funding could be reinstated by the end of the week.

Congress Daily PM: 

Rep. Mark Kirk, R-Ill., is trying today to make sure that parliamentary procedures are not used to knock out his prohibition against spending money for two Alaskan bridges, including $223 million for the infamous "Bridge to Nowhere." Kirk added language to the FY07 Transportation-Treasury spending bill at a June 6 Appropriations Committee markup that prohibits spending on the bridges, which foes have highlighted as examples of wasteful earmarks. The bill is on the House floor today. Kirk said "there's a dispute in the parliamentarian's office" on whether his language legislates on an appropriations bill and could be challenged on a budget point of order. If so, he would need to come up with an amendment to circumvent the ruling. "I have been going round and round with the parliamentarian's office," Kirk said, declining to specify how he would try to prohibit funding for the two bridges if his language is struck. The "Bridge to Nowhere" would connect the Alaskan city of Ketchikan with the island of Gravina and its roughly 50 residents. The other bridge, which last year's bill named "Don Young's Way" after the sitting House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee chairman, was authorized at $231.4 million and would join Anchorage with the community of Knik, population 22. The uproar over the two bridges was quelled last year when Alaska lawmakers agreed to not earmark money for the Ketchikan bridge, though the money was still directed to Alaska to spend however it wants.
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The Pence immigration reform plan by TimChapman

Mon, 2024-04-29 01:27

Today Pat Buchanan skewers Republican Study Committee Chairman Mike Pence with a column that is critical of the conservative leader's immigration reform plan. Buchanan calls Pence's plan "stealth amnesty" and calls instead for among other things border security:

The crucial steps are these. Build a fence along the 2,000-mile border to stop the flood. End welfare benefits to illegal aliens, except emergency medical treatment. Vigorously prosecute employers who hire illegals. Cease granting automatic citizenship to "anchor babies" of illegals who sneak across the border to have them. Take care of mother and child, then put them on a bus back home.

Nowhere in his column does Buchanan acknowledge that the Pence plan is a border security first proposal. Indeed, a key provision of the Pence plan puts a two year wait on implementing a guest worker program while the border is being securied, fence and all. After that waiting period, the Department of Homeland Security is required to certify the security of the border. Essentially, this provision is identical to the Isakson amendment that failed in the Senate. That amendment was lauded by conservatives of all stripes and its defeat signaled the end of any conservative support for the Senate McKennedy bill.

Buchanan gets nastier, sinking so low as to call Mike Pence a traitor to the conservative cause:

In "The Godfather," Don Corleone warns his son Michael that, after he dies, someone inside the family will come to Michael with an offer of peace from the Barzinis, who murdered Michael's brother. Whoever brings you the offer, Don Corleone warns his son, will have betrayed you. Tessio, lifetime friend and high-ranking captain of the Corleones, comes to Michael with Barzini's offer. A mistake.

Rep. Mike Pence appears to have accepted the Tessio role in the great immigration battle of 2006.

Buchanan says that the adoption of the Pence plan will mark "the end of Mike Pence as a rising star of the GOP."

Speaking of Godfathers, who made Pat Buchanan the Godfather of the conservative movement? Since when did he get to decide who was a rising star and who was not?

Perhaps somebody should inform Dick Armey and Newt Gingrich that they are no longer welcome in the conservative tent. After that, someone should tell Quin Hillyer over at the American Spectator that his service in the cause of the conservative movement is no longer needed as well. After all, how could a guy who thinks the Pence plan is "ingenious" be a real conservative? Hillyer writes:

"There are plenty of other details to the Pence plan, but suffice it to say that as conservatives study the plan, they continue to find that just about every question is answered and every base covered, and all according to principles conservatives hold dear. Read it for yourself to see...

"In short, the plan is ingenious. Not only should conservatives rally behind it, but so should the White House. It provides the president with a near-perfect escape from the rock-and-hard-place dilemma of trying to please, all at once, Hispanics, big business, and the mainstream Americans who insist that the first requirement of a guest is that the guest abide by our society's laws.

"Such insistence is absolutely the right thing. But it doesn't, by any means, require that Americans fail to exhibit our usual humaneness, nor does it require that we keep necessary jobs unfilled.

"In sum, the Pence bill offers security and prosperity in equal measure. You can't beat that."

Conservatives should be weary of the Buchananites who are methodically preparing to call any immigration reform agreement a betrayal. It seems to me that those who would cast overboard one of the conservative movements brightest hopes for the future over a disagreement about immigration policy care more about their own opinions and the forceful projection thereof than they do about conservatism.

It is not yet clear how Congress will settle this issue. As it looks right now, there is a chance that nothing at all will happen. Or perhaps an eventual compromise will emerge. And yes, maybe it will resemble the Pence plan. If it does, I can think of few other current members of Congress who have earned the consideration of conservatives.

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